SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.32%) and 3-2 (4.9%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Adelaide United |
42.96% ( -0.12) | 21.04% ( -0) | 36% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 72.96% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.06% ( 0.04) | 25.93% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.87% ( 0.06) | 46.13% ( -0.07) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.72% ( -0.02) | 13.28% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.9% ( -0.04) | 40.1% ( 0.03) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.14% ( 0.07) | 15.86% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.93% ( 0.13) | 45.07% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.9% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.47% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.52% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0)5-2 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 42.96% | 1-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 7.28% ( 0)3-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.81% Total : 21.04% | 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 3.88% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.78% Total : 36% |
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