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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 50.92%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.32%) and 1-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Perth Glory |
50.92% ( -0.58) | 21.47% ( 0.05) | 27.6% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 66.55% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.57% ( 0.19) | 32.42% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.94% ( 0.22) | 54.06% ( -0.22) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.83% ( -0.11) | 13.16% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.14% ( -0.23) | 39.86% ( 0.22) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( 0.44) | 23.36% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.66% ( 0.63) | 57.33% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.12)1-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.29% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 50.92% | 1-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.47% | 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.94% Total : 27.6% |
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