SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brisbane Roar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brisbane Roar.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Perth Glory |
46.96% ( -0.01) | 26.43% ( 0.13) | 26.61% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 48.97% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.87% ( -0.55) | 55.13% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.62% ( -0.45) | 76.38% ( 0.45) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.53% ( -0.24) | 23.47% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.52% ( -0.35) | 57.48% ( 0.35) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.99% ( -0.39) | 36.01% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.21% ( -0.4) | 72.79% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.96% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.93% Total : 26.61% |
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