The two teams played out a goalless draw in the reverse match in September, and we can see the same scoreline here, which would be enough for Bulgaria to finish second, while it would mean first for Northern Ireland even if they lose to Luxembourg.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Belarus win with a probability of 34.63%. A win for Bulgaria has a probability of 34.13% and a draw has a probability of 31.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (6.83%) and 1-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Bulgaria win is 1-0 (13.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 0-0 (14.09%).
2.44) 
-2.83) 
