Nations League | League C

Nov 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stade de Luxembourg

Luxembourg
0 - 1
Bulgaria

Bohnert (58'), Jans (61'), Martins Pereira (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kraev (23')
Despodov (28'), Milanov (43'), Panayotov (53')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Luxembourg and Bulgaria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luxembourg

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Belarus 1-1 Luxembourg
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Bulgaria	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Belarus	0	0	0

Bulgaria

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: N. Ireland 5-0 Bulgaria
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Bulgaria	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Belarus	0	0	0

We said: Luxembourg 1-2 Bulgaria

The last three fixtures between these two sides have finished level, and it would not be a surprise to see the points shared on Friday night. However, we just have a feeling that Bulgaria will be able to shade a close match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bulgaria would win this match.

Result
Luxembourg	Draw	Bulgaria
41.33% ( 0.03)	28.04% ( -0.04)	30.63% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 46.66% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.8% (

0.13)

59.2% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.38% (

0.1)

79.62% (

-0.1)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.82% (

0.08)

28.18% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.13% (

0.1)

63.87% (

-0.1)

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.96% (

0.07)

35.03% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.22% (

0.08)

71.78% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Luxembourg 41.33%

Bulgaria 30.62%

Draw 28.04%

Luxembourg	Draw	Bulgaria
1-0 @ 12.5% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 41.33%	1-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.04%	0-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 30.62%