SM
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bulgaria | Draw | Luxembourg |
58.47% ( 0.08) | 24.47% ( -0.02) | 17.06% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 42.64% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.76% ( -0) | 57.24% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.92% ( -0) | 78.08% ( 0.01) |
| Bulgaria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.52% ( 0.03) | 19.48% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.66% ( 0.05) | 51.34% ( -0.04) |
| Luxembourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.95% ( -0.07) | 47.05% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.47% ( -0.05) | 82.53% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bulgaria | Draw | Luxembourg |
| 1-0 @ 14.99% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0)Other @ 3.54% Total : 58.46% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.16% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.47% | 0-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 17.06% |
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