SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 58.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 15.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burkina Faso | Draw | Sierra Leone |
58.55% ( -0.25) | 25.56% ( 0.18) | 15.89% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 37.99% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.73% ( -0.44) | 62.27% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.07% ( -0.32) | 81.93% ( 0.33) |
| Burkina Faso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.55% ( -0.28) | 21.46% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.52% ( -0.43) | 54.48% ( 0.43) |
| Sierra Leone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.36% ( -0.17) | 51.64% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.23% ( -0.11) | 85.77% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burkina Faso | Draw | Sierra Leone |
| 1-0 @ 17.05% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 13.12% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.74% Total : 58.54% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.35% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.43% Total : 15.89% |
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