On the back of an international break, there is every chance that this fixture could be more competitive than many anticipate. However, while we feel that the Black Cats have the quality to score at Turf Moor, we expect the Clarets to battle their way to another three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 64.32%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 15.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
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