While Burton Albion will hope to build on their midweek cup win with home advantage, we can only see the two sides' league runs continuing on Saturday and tip Steve Evans's side to further strengthen their position in the leading pack with a victory at the Pirelli Stadium.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
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