Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Caracas had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Caracas win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.
Result | ||
Caracas | Draw | Penarol |
29.87% (![]() | 26.43% (![]() | 43.7% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.04% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.55% (![]() | 53.45% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.02% (![]() | 74.98% (![]() |
Caracas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.42% (![]() | 32.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.88% (![]() | 69.12% (![]() |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.7% (![]() | 24.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.32% (![]() | 58.68% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Caracas | Draw | Penarol |
1-0 @ 8.88% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.04% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.98% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.86% ( ![]() Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.87% | 1-1 @ 12.56% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.92% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 11.19% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.89% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.92% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.19% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 43.69% |
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