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League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Brunton Park
AS

Carlisle
vs.
Accrington

 
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Accrington Stanley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 0-2 Chesterfield
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two
Next Game: Port Vale vs. Carlisle
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Accrington
Monday, December 16 at 8pm in League Two
Next Game: Accrington vs. Salford City
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Accrington Stanley has a probability of 36.73% and a draw has a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win is 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.56%).

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawAccrington Stanley
36.85% (0.064 0.06) 26.42% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 36.73% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.81% (0.132 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.02% (0.169 0.17)51.97% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.28% (0.145 0.15)73.71% (-0.14800000000001 -0.15)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (0.116 0.12)27.29% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27% (0.152 0.15)62.73% (-0.155 -0.16)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.64% (0.064000000000007 0.06)27.36% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.18% (0.084999999999994 0.08)62.82% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 36.85%
    Accrington Stanley 36.73%
    Draw 26.41%
Carlisle UnitedDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 9.7% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.3%
3-1 @ 3.53% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 36.85%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 9.68% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.27% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.52% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 36.73%

Form Guide
Last Game: Carlisle 0-2 Chesterfield
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, November 30 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Doncaster
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bromley 1-1 Carlisle
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-2 Carlisle
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 0-1 Carlisle
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Accrington
Monday, December 16 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Bromley
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 5-2 Accrington
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 2-2 Swindon (4-1 pen.)
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Accrington
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 2-2 Swindon
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two


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