NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 20
Dec 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
McGuckin (76'), Macuilaitis (81'), Glendinning (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Crusaders.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 20.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.38%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 2-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Crusaders |
20.71% ( -0) | 21.81% ( -0) | 57.47% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.77% ( 0.02) |
| 58.43% ( 0.02) | 41.57% ( -0.02) |
| 36.03% ( 0.02) | 63.96% ( -0.02) |
| 66.2% ( 0.01) | 33.8% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.54% ( 0.01) | 70.46% ( -0.01) |
| 85.76% ( 0.01) | 14.24% ( -0.01) |
