SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 63.41%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 15.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.44%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Glentoran |
15.61% ( -0.5) | 20.98% ( -0.21) | 63.41% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 49.7% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.88% ( -0.02) | 46.12% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.58% ( -0.02) | 68.42% ( 0.02) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.71% ( -0.66) | 42.29% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.32% ( -0.58) | 78.68% ( 0.58) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.11% ( 0.21) | 13.89% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.7% ( 0.41) | 41.3% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Glentoran |
| 1-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.64% Total : 15.61% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.89% Total : 20.98% | 0-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 11.44% ( 0.18)1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 7.53% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 6.48% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 3.72% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 3.2% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.47% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.69% Total : 63.4% |
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