Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 53.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 22.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Braga |
22.45% (![]() | 23.63% (![]() | 53.91% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.24% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.56% (![]() | 47.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.35% (![]() | 69.65% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.54% (![]() | 35.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.78% (![]() | 72.22% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.49% (![]() | 17.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.98% (![]() | 48.02% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 6.44% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.82% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 1.95% Total : 22.45% | 1-1 @ 11.21% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.21% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.62% | 0-1 @ 10.81% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.77% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 9.42% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.68% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 3.67% Total : 53.91% |
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