SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Estoril Praia |
34.76% ( -0.26) | 25.97% ( 0.07) | 39.27% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 54.15% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.8% ( -0.33) | 50.2% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.84% ( -0.3) | 72.16% ( 0.3) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.32% ( -0.32) | 27.68% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.76% ( -0.41) | 63.23% ( 0.41) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.88% ( -0.05) | 25.12% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.18% ( -0.07) | 59.82% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.89% Total : 34.76% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 39.27% |
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