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La Liga | Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
GL

Celta Vigo
0 - 1
Girona


Jailson (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Portu (20')
Blind (50')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Sociedad
Tuesday, January 23 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Mallorca 3-2 Girona
Wednesday, January 24 at 6.30pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Celta Vigo 1-2 Girona

Girona's form in La Liga this season has been so strong that it is really difficult to back against them here, especially considering their record on the road and Celta's struggles at home. We are expecting a tight game in terms of the scoreline, but Girona should have enough quality to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Girona had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawGirona
37.59% (0.698 0.7) 25.41% (-0.157 -0.16) 36.99% (-0.543 -0.54)
Both teams to score 56.28% (0.548 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44% (0.701 0.7)47.56% (-0.703 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23% (0.646 0.65)69.76% (-0.64800000000001 -0.65)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (0.70700000000001 0.71)24.82% (-0.709 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.6% (0.978 0.98)59.4% (-0.979 -0.98)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (0.024000000000001 0.02)25.14% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (0.035000000000004 0.04)59.85% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 37.59%
    Girona 36.99%
    Draw 25.41%
Celta VigoDrawGirona
1-0 @ 8.7% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.103 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.06% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.126 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.82% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.07 0.07)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 37.59%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.24% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.075 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 8.61% (-0.248 -0.25)
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.95% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.74% (-0.075 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 36.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Sociedad
Tuesday, January 23 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Real Sociedad
Saturday, January 20 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-3 Celta Vigo
Wednesday, January 17 at 7pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Celta Vigo
Saturday, January 13 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Amorebieta 2-4 Celta Vigo
Sunday, January 7 at 11am in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-1 Betis
Wednesday, January 3 at 6.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 3-2 Girona
Wednesday, January 24 at 6.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Girona 5-1 Sevilla
Sunday, January 21 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 3-1 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, January 17 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Almeria 0-0 Girona
Sunday, January 14 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 0-2 Girona
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Girona 4-3 Atletico
Wednesday, January 3 at 8.30pm in La Liga


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