SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Girona had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Girona |
37.59% ( 0.7) | 25.41% ( -0.16) | 36.99% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 56.28% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.44% ( 0.7) | 47.56% ( -0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.23% ( 0.65) | 69.76% ( -0.65) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% ( 0.71) | 24.82% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.6% ( 0.98) | 59.4% ( -0.98) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.85% ( 0.02) | 25.14% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.14% ( 0.04) | 59.85% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.82% Total : 37.59% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 36.99% |
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