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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 83.4%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 5.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 4-0 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.12%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-2 (1.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Kilmarnock |
83.4% ( 0.16) | 10.97% ( 0.03) | 5.63% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 47.71% ( -1.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.69% ( -1.23) | 28.3% ( 1.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.88% ( -1.54) | 49.11% ( 1.53) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.1% ( -0.2) | 4.89% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.35% ( -0.6) | 19.65% ( 0.59) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.17% ( -1.65) | 49.83% ( 1.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.46% ( -1.18) | 84.54% ( 1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 3-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.51)4-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0)1-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.43)4-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.17)6-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.16)6-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.1)5-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.11)7-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.94% Total : 83.39% | 1-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.72% Total : 10.97% | 1-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.14% Total : 5.63% |
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