SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 55.6%. A win for Western United had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.4%) and 1-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western United |
55.6% ( -0.23) | 21.01% ( 0.05) | 23.39% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 63.61% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.68% ( -0.02) | 34.32% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.77% ( -0.02) | 56.23% ( 0.02) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.58% ( -0.07) | 12.41% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.68% ( -0.15) | 38.31% ( 0.15) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.63% ( 0.14) | 27.37% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.16% ( 0.18) | 62.83% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.32% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 55.6% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.4% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.01% | 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.7% Total : 23.39% |
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