Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
25.62% ( -0.58)	24.89% ( 0.07)	49.48% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 52.74% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.21% (

-0.72)

49.79% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.21% (

-0.65)

71.79% (

0.64)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.04% (

-0.86)

33.95% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.37% (

-0.94)

70.63% (

0.94)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.86% (

-0.08)

20.14% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.58% (

-0.12)

52.41% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Cerezo Osaka 25.62%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 49.48%

Draw 24.89%

Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.27% Total : 25.62%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.89%	0-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 5.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.69% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 49.48%