SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 35.16%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.08%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (12.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
34.77% ( -0.5) | 30.06% ( 0.07) | 35.16% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 41.98% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.7% ( -0.22) | 65.29% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.9% ( -0.15) | 84.1% ( 0.16) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.66% ( -0.46) | 35.34% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.9% ( -0.48) | 72.1% ( 0.48) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.92% ( 0.17) | 35.08% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.17% ( 0.18) | 71.82% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 12.89% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.11% Total : 34.77% | 1-1 @ 13.5% 0-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.48% Total : 30.05% | 0-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 35.16% |
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