SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 35.91%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.12%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Cerro win was 0-1 (12.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo Maldonado would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Cerro |
35.91% ( 0.65) | 30.22% ( 0) | 33.87% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 41.53% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.19% ( -0.03) | 65.8% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.55% ( -0.02) | 84.45% ( 0.02) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.15% ( 0.42) | 34.85% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.42% ( 0.44) | 71.58% ( -0.44) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.75% ( -0.48) | 36.25% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.97% ( -0.49) | 73.03% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Cerro |
| 1-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 35.9% | 1-1 @ 13.51% 0-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.46% Total : 30.21% | 0-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 33.86% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
