SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 40.13%. A draw had a probability of 31.8% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 28.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 2-1 (6.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.31%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | Cerro |
40.13% ( 1.06) | 31.78% ( -0.25) | 28.09% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 36.55% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 28.99% ( 0.43) | 71.01% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.13% ( 0.27) | 87.87% ( -0.26) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.02% ( 0.91) | 34.98% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.28% ( 0.94) | 71.73% ( -0.94) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.22% ( -0.43) | 43.78% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.06% ( -0.36) | 79.95% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | Cerro |
| 1-0 @ 16.08% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.28)2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.21% Total : 40.12% | 0-0 @ 15.31% ( -0.24) 1-1 @ 13.28% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.29% Total : 31.77% | 0-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.35) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.78% Total : 28.09% |
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