SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 39.88%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.4%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Cerro |
39.88% ( 0.75) | 30.41% ( -0.29) | 29.7% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 40.2% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.02% ( 0.69) | 66.98% ( -0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.75% ( 0.47) | 85.25% ( -0.47) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.06% ( 0.84) | 32.93% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.48% ( 0.92) | 69.51% ( -0.92) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.94% ( 0.02) | 40.06% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.29% ( 0.02) | 76.7% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Cerro |
| 1-0 @ 14.65% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.62% Total : 39.88% | 1-1 @ 13.4% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 13.19% ( -0.34)2-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.4% | 0-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.39% Total : 29.69% |
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