Charlton may be frustrated by a flurry of draws, but we think that they will return to winning ways against a Burton side that will be low on confidence following a run of five consecutive league defeats.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 66.14%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 14.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
-0.08) 
0.02) 
