SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 69.69%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 12.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-0 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
12.41% ( -0.05) | 17.9% ( -0.05) | 69.69% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.49% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.69% ( 0.08) | 39.3% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.36% ( 0.09) | 61.64% ( -0.09) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.31% ( -0.03) | 42.68% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.98% ( -0.03) | 79.02% ( 0.03) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.83% ( 0.05) | 10.16% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.6% ( 0.11) | 33.4% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chaves | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 1.37% Total : 12.41% | 1-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.01% Total : 17.9% | 0-2 @ 11.33% 0-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 8.64% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 7.36% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 4.94% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 4.21% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0)0-5 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.79% ( 0)Other @ 4.53% Total : 69.68% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
