SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 39.05% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (4.99%) and 3-1 (4.97%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chelsea Under-21s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
40.4% ( 0.02) | 20.55% ( 0.13) | 39.05% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 75.37% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.96% ( -0.66) | 23.04% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.69% ( -0.9) | 42.31% ( 0.9) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.05% ( -0.28) | 12.95% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.58% ( -0.57) | 39.42% ( 0.57) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.59% ( -0.33) | 13.41% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.64% ( -0.68) | 40.35% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.09)1-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.36% Total : 40.4% | 2-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.02% Total : 20.55% | 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.8% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.08)0-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)2-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.16% Total : 39.05% |
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