SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 60.62%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 20.6% and a draw had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (5.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
60.62% ( -0.01) | 18.78% ( 0) | 20.6% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 68.02% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.02% ( -0.01) | 26.98% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.53% ( -0.01) | 47.47% ( 0.01) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.13% ( -0) | 8.87% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.63% ( -0.01) | 30.37% ( 0.01) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.64% ( 0) | 25.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.85% | 60.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.31% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0)1-0 @ 5.45% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.33% 3-2 @ 5.02% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.43% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.23% ( -0)4-2 @ 3.04% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.15% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.56% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.47% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 4.6% Total : 60.62% | 1-1 @ 7.48% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.29% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.25% ( 0)Other @ 0.55% Total : 18.78% | 1-2 @ 5.13% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.09% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.35% 0-2 @ 2.12% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.98% 0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 20.6% |
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