SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
40.82% ( 0.05) | 24.47% ( -0.02) | 34.7% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.35% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.53% ( 0.08) | 43.47% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.14% ( 0.08) | 65.86% ( -0.08) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.64% ( 0.06) | 21.36% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.66% ( 0.09) | 54.33% ( -0.09) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.47% ( 0.02) | 24.52% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41% ( 0.03) | 58.99% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 40.82% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.7% |
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