SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 48.49%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
48.49% ( 0) | 22.96% ( -0.01) | 28.55% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 61.81% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.04% ( 0.03) | 38.96% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.72% ( 0.03) | 61.28% ( -0.03) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.64% ( 0.01) | 16.35% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.03% ( 0.02) | 45.96% ( -0.02) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.9% ( 0.02) | 26.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.84% ( 0.02) | 61.16% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.67% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.22% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.81% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.91% 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.52% Total : 48.49% | 1-1 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 6.97% 0-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.85% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.72% 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 28.55% |
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