SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 48.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 25.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Alfreton Town |
48.32% ( -0.15) | 26.47% ( -0.01) | 25.21% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 47.72% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.82% ( 0.16) | 56.18% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.76% ( 0.13) | 77.24% ( -0.13) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.71% ( -0) | 23.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.78% | 57.22% ( -0) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.21% ( 0.23) | 37.79% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.43% ( 0.23) | 74.57% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.82% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.7% Total : 48.32% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.65% Total : 25.21% |
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