It has not been an easy path to the quarter-finals for either side, and given Cruzeiro's inexperience at this stage, along with the lack of consistent quality from the home side, we expect chances will be at a premium for this opening fixture.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.02) 
