SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Libertad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Libertad | Draw | Nacional |
41.65% ( 0.1) | 26.41% ( 0.29) | 31.95% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 52% ( -1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.37% ( -1.29) | 52.63% ( 1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.72% ( -1.11) | 74.28% ( 1.11) |
| Club Libertad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.03% ( -0.53) | 24.97% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.38% ( -0.73) | 59.62% ( 0.73) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.31% ( -0.9) | 30.69% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.06% ( -1.08) | 66.94% ( 1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club Libertad | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 41.64% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.08% Total : 31.95% |
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