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League Two | Gameweek 33
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
GT

Colchester
2 - 0
Grimsby Town

Hopper (5'), Akinde (79')
Hornby (73'), Iandolo (75')
Dallison (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Obikwu (48'), Mullarkey (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 2-3 Colchester
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 1-1 Grimsby Town

Colchester will be full of confidence following Saturday's win at Crawley, but we cannot envisage the U's winning back-to-back matches in League Two. There is a similar school of thought for Grimsby, who are unlikely to be victorious in successive outings after winning just once on the road previously, meaning that a share of the spoils is on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawGrimsby Town
35.25% (-2.526 -2.53) 25.39% (-0.251 -0.25) 39.36% (2.779 2.78)
Both teams to score 56.21% (0.745 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.42% (1.015 1.01)47.58% (-1.011 -1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.22% (0.932 0.93)69.78% (-0.92899999999999 -0.93)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.85% (-0.955 -0.95)26.15% (0.957 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78% (-1.298 -1.3)61.22% (1.3 1.3)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.11% (1.968 1.97)23.89% (-1.966 -1.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.91% (2.739 2.74)58.09% (-2.737 -2.74)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 35.25%
    Grimsby Town 39.36%
    Draw 25.39%
Colchester UnitedDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.601 -0.6)
2-1 @ 8.05% (-0.327 -0.33)
2-0 @ 5.62% (-0.571 -0.57)
3-1 @ 3.6% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.332 -0.33)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 35.25%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.267 -0.27)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.098 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 8.94% (0.133 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.59% (0.373 0.37)
0-2 @ 6.4% (0.444 0.44)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.395 0.4)
0-3 @ 3.06% (0.369 0.37)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.196 0.2)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.214 0.21)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.185 0.19)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.12 0.12)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 39.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Crawley 2-3 Colchester
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Stockport
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Wrexham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-1 Colchester
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 2-1 Newport
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, March 23 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Newport
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Bradford
Monday, April 1 at 1pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 3-1 Grimsby Town
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-3 Wrexham
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two


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