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League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
SC

Colchester
2 - 1
Salford City

Taylor (42'), Cooper (89')
Read (17'), Hall (29'), Taylor (31'), Mitchell (74'), Akinde (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McAleny (90+1')
Ingram (38')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 1-2 Salford City

Colchester took four points off Salford in their two meetings last season, but the Essex side are in such poor form, and Salford really need a result. We are expecting this to be a tight game but believe that Salford have enough quality to pick up what would be a very important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Colchester United in this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawSalford City
38.83% (0.32700000000001 0.33) 24.38% (-0.125 -0.13) 36.79% (-0.201 -0.2)
Both teams to score 60.01% (0.45500000000001 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.25% (0.591 0.59)42.75% (-0.591 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.85% (0.586 0.59)65.15% (-0.586 -0.59)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99% (0.426 0.43)22.01% (-0.425 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.67% (0.642 0.64)55.33% (-0.642 -0.64)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (0.164 0.16)23.06% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.12% (0.238 0.24)56.88% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 38.83%
    Salford City 36.79%
    Draw 24.38%
Colchester UnitedDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.035 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.68% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.81% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 38.83%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.055 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.08% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.38%
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.45% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.46% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.04% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-3 @ 3.06% (0.041 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.48% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 36.79%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Colchester
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Crawley
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-4 West Ham U21s
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Doncaster 3-1 Colchester
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-4 Barrow
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-0 Peterborough
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Salford City
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-4 MK Dons
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 3-1 Salford City
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 4-4 Peterborough (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Mansfield
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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