SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New England Revolution |
64.76% ( -0.07) | 18.17% ( 0.02) | 17.07% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 63.37% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.04% ( -0.01) | 29.95% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.86% ( -0.01) | 51.14% ( 0.01) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.2% ( -0.02) | 8.79% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.82% ( -0.04) | 30.17% ( 0.04) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.48% ( 0.05) | 30.51% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.27% ( 0.05) | 66.73% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.52% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.53% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.75% 5-1 @ 2.25% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.34% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)6-1 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 3.52% Total : 64.76% | 1-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.68% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.17% | 1-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.19% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.89% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.37% Total : 17.07% |
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