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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 59.68%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 20.79% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.25%) and 3-1 (7.18%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (5.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
59.68% ( -5.01) | 19.53% ( 1.25) | 20.79% ( 3.76) |
| Both teams to score 65.34% ( 2.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.52% ( 0.14) | 30.48% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.23% ( 0.16) | 51.77% ( -0.16) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.88% ( -1.13) | 10.13% ( 1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.69% ( -2.66) | 33.32% ( 2.67) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.7% ( 3.69) | 27.3% ( -3.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.26% ( 4.55) | 62.75% ( -4.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.83)3-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.42)1-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.38)3-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.96)3-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.47)4-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.74)4-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.32)5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.43)5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.07)4-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.64% Total : 59.68% | 1-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.56)0-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.28)Other @ 0.42% Total : 19.54% | 1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.73) 0-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.33)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.48)0-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.42)1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.51)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.26)Other @ 3.57% Total : 20.79% |
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