Columbus's strong defence could mean that New England find it difficult to break their opponents down.
Additionally, having scored just 17 goals in 17 games, the hosts may struggle to generate enough chances to truly threaten the visitors.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.