Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
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