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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
ST

Crawley
4 - 2
Swindon

Adeyemo (34'), Roles (56', 88'), R (89')
Khaleel (70'), Roles (78'), Flint (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ofoborh (60'), Smith (66')
Smith (90+6')
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Crawley Town and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Last Game: Chesterfield 1-1 Swindon
Friday, August 9 at 8pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 37.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.27%) and 2-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawSwindon Town
38.87% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 23.15% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 37.97% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 64.77% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.4% (0.016000000000005 0.02)36.6% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.25% (0.018000000000001 0.02)58.75% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.68% (0.016999999999996 0.02)19.32% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.93% (0.027999999999999 0.03)51.07% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.27% (0.00099999999999056 0)19.73% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.25% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)51.75% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 38.87%
    Swindon Town 37.97%
    Draw 23.15%
Crawley TownDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 6.27% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 5.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 38.87%
1-1 @ 10.17%
2-2 @ 6.79% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.15%
1-2 @ 8.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.19% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 4.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.67%
0-3 @ 2.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.49%
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 37.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Crawley 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-1 Crawley
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Aldershot 1-2 Crawley
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Crawley 3-6 Crystal Palace
Saturday, July 27 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Wealdstone 1-0 Crawley
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: East Grinstead Town 0-2 Crawley
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Chesterfield 1-1 Swindon
Friday, August 9 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-0 Wycombe
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Eastleigh 1-0 Swindon
Sunday, July 28 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Highworth Town 2-4 Swindon
Saturday, July 20 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Melksham 1-3 Swindon
Tuesday, July 16 at 10.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Swindon 3-3 Morecambe
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in League Two


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