Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
-0.25) 
0.1) 
