Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Cruz Azul	Draw	Pachuca
43.03% ( 0.42)	25.37% ( -0.01)	31.6% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 55.24% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.62% (

-0.07)

48.38% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.48% (

-0.07)

70.52% (

0.07)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.58% (

0.17)

22.42% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.06% (

0.26)

55.95% (

-0.25)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.21% (

-0.3)

28.79% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.36% (

-0.38)

64.64% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Cruz Azul 43.03%

Pachuca 31.6%

Draw 25.36%

Cruz Azul	Draw	Pachuca
1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 43.03%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.6%