SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 63.94%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 17.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.49%) and 1-3 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 2-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Manchester City |
17.26% ( -0.05) | 18.81% ( -0) | 63.94% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 61.25% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.2% ( -0.06) | 32.8% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.5% ( -0.08) | 54.49% ( 0.08) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.88% ( -0.08) | 32.11% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.41% ( -0.1) | 68.59% ( 0.1) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.23% ( -0) | 9.77% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.5% ( -0.02) | 32.5% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.56% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.02% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 17.26% | 1-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 18.81% | 1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 7.47% ( 0)0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 6.58% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 4.35% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.83% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 2.02% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.78% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.15% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.69% Total : 63.94% |
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