Given the hosts' record at both ends of the pitch this season and the visitors' long list of absentees, we can only envisage a low-scoring contest on Wednesday. Even without the majority of their key attackers, Flamengo should have the quality to find a decisive goal at the Arena Pantanal and get past a struggling Cuiaba side who have not scored since early October. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.16%) and 1-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Cuiaba	Draw	Flamengo
29.86% ( -0)	28.66% ( -0)	41.47% ( -0)

Both teams to score 44.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.45% (

-0)

61.55% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.6% (

-0)

81.4% (

-0)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.11% (

-0)

36.89% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.32% (

-0)

73.67% (

-0)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.76% (

-0)

29.24% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.81%

65.19% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Cuiaba 29.85%

Flamengo 41.47%

Draw 28.65%

Cuiaba	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 6.6% 2-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.82% Total : 29.85%	1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 10.78% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.65%	0-1 @ 13.26% 0-2 @ 8.16% 1-2 @ 8.13% 0-3 @ 3.34% 1-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.03% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.53% Total : 41.47%