Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cuiaba would win this match.
-3.66) 
0.86) 
