SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Trinidad and Tobago | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Panama | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Guatemala | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Martinique | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 5 | Curacao | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Trinidad and Tobago | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Panama | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Guatemala | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Martinique | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 5 | Curacao | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 47.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Curacao had a probability of 24.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.6%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Curacao win it was 1-0 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Curacao | Draw | Panama |
24.87% ( 2.15) | 27.35% ( 0.22) | 47.78% ( -2.39) |
| Both teams to score 45.04% ( 1.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.5% ( 0.78) | 59.5% ( -0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.14% ( 0.59) | 79.85% ( -0.6) |
| Curacao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.05% ( 2.5) | 39.94% ( -2.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.4% ( 2.22) | 76.6% ( -2.23) |
| Panama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75% ( -0.78) | 25% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.34% ( -1.09) | 59.65% ( 1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curacao | Draw | Panama |
| 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.48)2-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.43)3-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.26)3-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.15)Other @ 1.37% Total : 24.87% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.25)Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 13.84% ( -0.74) 0-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.73)1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.45)1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.21% Total : 47.77% |
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