SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 22.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
22.19% ( 0.4) | 27.06% ( 0.29) | 50.74% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 43.21% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.5% ( -0.61) | 60.5% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.39% ( -0.47) | 80.61% ( 0.47) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.89% ( 0.06) | 43.1% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.62% ( 0.05) | 79.38% ( -0.05) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.95% ( -0.58) | 24.05% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.67% ( -0.83) | 58.33% ( 0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.02% Total : 22.19% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 14.77% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 10.52% ( -0.12)1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 5% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.33% Total : 50.74% |
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