SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 44.53%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
44.53% ( 0.06) | 28.17% ( -0) | 27.3% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 44.65% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.09% ( -0.02) | 60.91% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.07% ( -0.01) | 80.92% ( 0.01) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.72% ( 0.02) | 27.27% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.29% ( 0.03) | 62.71% ( -0.03) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.39% ( -0.05) | 38.6% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.65% ( -0.05) | 75.35% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 13.68% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 1.8% Total : 44.53% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 10.52% 2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 1.56% Total : 27.3% |
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