SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for DC United had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
33.93% ( 0.25) | 23.56% ( 0.02) | 42.51% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 62.51% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.74% ( 0.01) | 39.25% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.41% ( 0.01) | 61.58% ( -0) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.01% ( 0.14) | 22.98% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.22% ( 0.21) | 56.78% ( -0.21) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.17% ( -0.11) | 18.83% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.73% ( -0.18) | 50.26% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.93% | 1-1 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.94% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.48% Total : 42.51% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
