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MI
Major League Soccer
May 30, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
DU

Montreal
4 - 2
DC United

Lassiter (6'), Sunusi (34', 73'), Choiniere (38')
Piette (5'), Ruan (32'), Choiniere (58')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Benteke (29', 42')
Hopkins (2'), Peltola (37'), Dajome (63')
Peltola (45+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 0-0 Nashville
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 1-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 1-0 DC United

Although they failed to emerge victorious on Saturday, Montreal were a lot sharper on the back end, and we believe that Le CFM will manage to defeat a side in DC, who have not been as decisive in the attacking third of late and have rarely won away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for DC United had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawDC United
43.3% (0.306 0.31) 25.14% (0.012 0.01) 31.56% (-0.318 -0.32)
Both teams to score 55.97% (-0.169 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58% (-0.162 -0.16)47.42% (0.16 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37% (-0.15 -0.15)69.63% (0.149 0.15)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.11% (0.072999999999993 0.07)21.88% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.86% (0.113 0.11)55.13% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (-0.285 -0.28)28.34% (0.285 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92% (-0.364 -0.36)64.08% (0.36399999999999 0.36)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 43.3%
    DC United 31.56%
    Draw 25.14%
CF MontrealDrawDC United
1-0 @ 9.42% (0.084 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 43.3%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.49% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 31.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Montreal 0-0 Nashville
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 5-1 Montreal
Sunday, May 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 1-3 Columbus Crew
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-3 Inter Miami
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 4-1 Montreal
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-0 Montreal
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 1-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-0 DC United
Sunday, May 19 at 1.05am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 1-4 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-3 DC United
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-1 Seattle
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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