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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
44.93% ( -0.29) | 25.37% ( -0.07) | 29.69% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 54.27% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.79% ( 0.46) | 49.21% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.72% ( 0.42) | 71.27% ( -0.42) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.11% ( 0.06) | 21.88% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.86% ( 0.1) | 55.13% ( -0.1) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.47% ( 0.49) | 30.52% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.25% ( 0.58) | 66.74% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.35% Total : 44.93% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.08% Total : 29.69% |
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